Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000140 0.000156 0.000173 0.000193 0.000216 0.000240 0.000268
2025-08-17 0.000116 0.000138 0.000163 0.000193 0.000229 0.000270 0.000321
2025-08-24 0.000097 0.000122 0.000151 0.000189 0.000237 0.000294 0.000369
2025-08-31 0.000084 0.000110 0.000143 0.000188 0.000246 0.000320 0.000421
2025-09-07 0.000074 0.000101 0.000137 0.000187 0.000256 0.000347 0.000476
2025-09-14 0.000065 0.000093 0.000131 0.000186 0.000264 0.000370 0.000529
2025-09-21 0.000059 0.000088 0.000128 0.000188 0.000277 0.000402 0.000595
2025-09-28 0.000054 0.000083 0.000124 0.000189 0.000287 0.000431 0.000659
2025-10-05 0.000049 0.000077 0.000120 0.000188 0.000294 0.000454 0.000716
2025-10-12 0.000046 0.000075 0.000119 0.000192 0.000309 0.000491 0.000797
2025-10-19 0.000042 0.000071 0.000116 0.000192 0.000318 0.000519 0.000865
2025-10-26 0.000039 0.000067 0.000113 0.000192 0.000326 0.000546 0.000933
2025-11-02 0.000036 0.000063 0.000109 0.000190 0.000331 0.000569 0.000999
2025-11-09 0.000033 0.000061 0.000107 0.000191 0.000342 0.000602 0.001085
2025-11-16 0.000031 0.000057 0.000103 0.000189 0.000346 0.000623 0.001152
2025-11-23 0.000028 0.000054 0.000100 0.000188 0.000353 0.000650 0.001231
2025-11-30 0.000027 0.000052 0.000097 0.000188 0.000361 0.000681 0.001319
2025-12-07 0.000025 0.000049 0.000094 0.000186 0.000366 0.000705 0.001396
2025-12-14 0.000023 0.000048 0.000094 0.000188 0.000379 0.000745 0.001509
2025-12-21 0.000022 0.000046 0.000092 0.000190 0.000389 0.000781 0.001616
2025-12-28 0.000021 0.000044 0.000090 0.000188 0.000394 0.000807 0.001705
2026-01-04 0.000020 0.000043 0.000090 0.000192 0.000411 0.000858 0.001849
2026-01-11 0.000019 0.000041 0.000088 0.000193 0.000420 0.000893 0.001961